Article
Forecast to 2020 for selected jobs
The forecasts were made using the Expert Modler feature in the SPSS (statistical) program. Based on a number of forecast methodologies, it picks the best one to fit the data. One of the key measures of fit is R-squared. R-squared shows the strenght of the relationship of the data - 1.0 would equate a perfect relationship and 0 would equal no relationship. R-squared is one way to test the model. However, a good R-squared does not, in all case signify the best fit for a model. Fore instance, if arriving at the best fit for the data, the model states that the r-squard value for postpersons is 85%, signifying a strong relationship. But if we were to predict using the r-squared figure alone it might indicate 200 postpersons by 2020 when there are currently 60 now. Given the reduction in mail, this foreceast would be unrealistic. This we also used exploratory data analysis to fit a trend to the data.
Actual Jobs
Forecast of Total Jobs
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Aeorbics/Fitness Instructor
48
50
51
52
53
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
63
Air Traffic Controller
5
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
7
7
8
8
Airline Passenger Agent
70
73
80
78
76
74
72
70
68
66
64
62
60
Analytical Chemist
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
Appraiser/Valuer
7
8
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
11
Architect
60
53
61
59
58
57
56
55
54
53
52
51
50
Architectural Assistant/Technician
48
47
55
55
56
56
57
57
58
58
59
60
61
Art Gallery/Museum Curator
17
16
15
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
Artist
17
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
19
19
Author
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Auto Body Worker
45
50
50
50
50
51
51
51
51
52
52
52
52
Baker Helper
19
16
15
13
12
11
9
8
7
5
4
3
1
Baker/Mixer
51
57
57
57
58
58
58
59
59
60
61
61
62
Bank Teller
134
117
104
105
105
95
87
84
80
73
67
63
58
Bar Porter
33
32
28
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
26
26
26
Barber/Hairdresser
203
192
194
194
195
195
196
197
198
198
199
199
200
Beautician
167
169
175
176
184
189
194
199
203
208
213
218
222
Biological Scientist
16
19
19
20
20
21
21
22
22
23
23
24
24
Butcher
60
70
66
67
69
70
71
72
73
75
77
78
80
Cashier
591
634
640
644
650
656
662
668
672
680
686
692
700
Chef de Partie/Cook
664
656
665
668
671
674
677
680
683
686
689
692
695
Chemist (General)
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Chiropractor
6
6
6
7
7
7
7
8
8
8
8
9
9
Choreographer
0
0
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
Civil Engineer
26
24
24
25
25
25
25
26
26
26
27
27
27
Civil Engineering Technician
7
4
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
Computer Programmer
47
47
47
48
49
50
51
52
54
55
56
57
57
Computer/Systems Analyst
217
217
224
230
237
243
250
256
263
269
276
282
289
Consultant, Business (General)
137
146
153
159
166
172
179
185
192
198
205
211
218
Coporate Secretary
140
96
86
75
69
67
69
75
84
96
111
129
149
Customs Officer
180
187
190
194
197
200
203
207
210
213
216
220
223
Dancer
11
12
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
Dental Hygienist
33
37
36
39
39
40
41
42
43
43
44
45
46
Dentist
31
45
46
48
49
50
51
53
54
55
56
58
59
Dietitian
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
Doctor/Physician
127
142
138
141
144
147
151
154
157
160
163
167
170
Dolphin Trainer
0
0
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
Draughtsman
14
11
16
16
15
15
14
14
13
12
10
9
9
Economist
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Editor, Press/Radio/TV
0
0
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
Electrical Engineer
43
54
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
Electrician (General)
302
299
304
308
313
318
322
327
331
336
341
345
350
Electronics Engineer (General)
11
9
9
9
10
10
10
11
11
12
12
12
13
Executive Secretary/Personal Assistant
909
917
884
855
825
796
766
737
707
678
648
618
589
Farmer
77
77
77
77
77
78
78
79
79
80
81
82
83
Floral Arranger
21
15
18
17
17
16
16
15
15
14
13
13
12
Gardner
204
188
172
157
141
126
110
95
79
63
48
32
17
Horticulturist
18
16
15
14
13
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Hotel Receptionist/Cashier
125
122
123
122
122
122
122
122
122
122
121
121
121
Instrumentalist/Musician
48
48
48
48
48
48
48
47
47
47
47
47
47
Internal Auditor
61
68
86
88
90
92
95
97
99
101
104
106
108
Investment Officer
112
100
100
99
98
97
100
120
140
160
180
200
227
Jeweller
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
8
Junior Secretary/Clerk
538
484
433
381
328
275
223
170
117
64
12
12
0
Land Surveyor
23
22
24
24
25
25
26
26
27
28
29
30
31
Landscape Gardener
414
435
454
473
493
512
531
551
570
589
608
628
647
Legal Secretary
184
170
140
145
150
155
160
165
171
176
181
185
190
Librarian
25
29
29
29
29
30
30
30
30
31
31
31
31
Mason (Construction)
759
693
760
780
800
810
820
800
775
600
330
250
175
Mechanical Engineer
29
28
35
35
34
34
33
33
32
32
31
31
30
Medical Lab Technologist
41
50
41
42
43
45
47
48
50
52
54
58
60
Messenger, Porter
221
178
172
167
161
156
150
145
139
133
128
122
117
Meteorologists
8
9
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
Meter Reader
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
Minister of Religion
78
79
78
77
75
73
72
69
67
65
63
61
60
Motor Cycle Mechanic
46
52
55
55
54
54
53
53
52
52
51
50
49
Motor Vehicle Tradesman-Mechanic
166
162
158
158
158
158
158
158
158
158
158
157
157
Nurse, Registered
461
559
498
502
524
546
568
590
624
648
670
675
680
Nursemaid/Nanny
162
163
167
172
176
180
185
189
194
198
202
207
211
Nursing Aids & Orderlies
384
457
468
479
490
502
513
524
535
546
557
569
580
Occupational Therapist
34
36
36
37
38
39
39
40
41
42
43
44
44
Pathologist/Botanist
5
8
9
11
13
14
16
18
19
21
23
25
26
Physiotherapist
45
46
43
44
45
47
48
50
51
52
54
55
57
Plumber, General
189
186
196
200
205
210
215
220
225
230
235
237
240
Policeman/Detective
340
368
380
380
379
378
377
376
375
375
374
374
373
Postman
68
66
66
60
54
48
42
34
28
22
16
13
11
Primary Education Teacher
420
422
400
404
409
413
418
422
426
431
435
439
444
Principal
51
51
49
49
49
50
50
50
50
51
51
51
51
Prison Officer
203
207
209
212
214
217
219
222
224
226
229
231
234
Psychologist
24
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
38
39
Radiologist
2
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Receptionist
396
403
424
426
427
429
431
433
435
437
439
442
445
Salesperson/Clerk - Retail
702
665
617
569
521
473
426
378
330
282
234
186
138
Secondary Education Teacher
327
321
321
324
327
331
334
337
339
341
343
347
350
Social Worker
43
42
42
42
42
42
42
43
43
43
43
43
44
Sous Chef/Second Chef
119
118
120
125
130
135
140
145
138
131
115
108
104
Sports Coach
37
40
47
47
47
47
47
47
47
47
47
47
47
Surgeon
13
15
15
15
16
16
17
17
18
18
19
19
20
Telecommunications Engineer
18
30
24
24
25
25
26
26
27
27
28
29
30
Travel Agency Clerk
54
27
26
22
18
14
10
5
1
18
25
37
56
Underwriter
400
377
368
357
346
336
325
315
304
293
283
272
261
Veterinarian
13
13
12
13
13
13
13
13
14
14
14
14
14
Waiter
908
886
835
831
827
823
820
816
812
808
803
802
800
Wine Steward/Bar Waiter
20
21
18
15
13
11
17
23
28
36
42
48
52
